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Showing posts with label 2016 election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2016 election. Show all posts
Sunday, February 5, 2017

From the Harvard Business Review: What So Many People Don’t Get About the U.S. Working Class

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Further analysis of the 2016 election. - Click here for the article . For months, the only thing that’s surprised me about Donald Trump is ...
Friday, January 6, 2017

From the Director of National Intelligence: Background to “Assessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent US Elections”: The Analytic Process and Cyber Incident Attribution

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As far as I am aware, this is the most comprehensive detail of the facts related to the accusation that Russia interfered with the recent el...
Thursday, January 5, 2017

From the Washington Post: State pollsters, pummeled by 2016, analyze what went wrong

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According to the author, the national polls nailed the popular vote for president. The results were within 1% of the final poll numbers. The...
Wednesday, December 21, 2016

From 538: ‘Shy’ Voters Probably Aren’t Why The Polls Missed Trump

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I'll compile a list of articles highlighting what went wrong - and right - in the polls leading up to the 2016 presidential election. On...
Saturday, November 19, 2016

From Vox: Ticket splitting is dead. National parties are now everything.

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I'm not sure if this is good or bad, but it is what it is. The polarization of the U.S. continues. - Click here for the article . Eve...
Thursday, November 17, 2016

A first look at the demographics of the 115th Congress

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Roll Call: Party Diversity Gap to Remain in 115th . The Hill:  115th Congress will be most racially diverse in history .
Wednesday, November 16, 2016

From the Harvard Business Review: What So Many People Don’t Get About the U.S. Working Clas

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Since last week's election, renewed attention has been paid to this group. - Click here for the article . . . . the white working cla...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016

From Foreign Policy: The Two-Hundred-Year Era of ‘Left’ and ‘Right’ Is Over

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Another argument that identity politics is an increasingly powerful driving force in global - not just American - politics. - Click here for...
Monday, November 14, 2016

From the Houston Press: What You Can Expect to See Under Kim Ogg as Harris County District Attorney

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A look at what to expect from one of the few bright spots for Democrats last week - Click here for the article . After defeating Republic...

From the Texas Tribune: Analysis: The blue dots in Texas’ red political sea

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More on Democratic gains at the local level. - Click here for the article . Tuesday’s election results offer further evidence that Texas ...

From the NYT: Trump’s Supreme Court List: Ivy League? Out. The Heartland? In.

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All current members are from Harvard, Yale or Columbia. That seems likely to change. - Click here for the article . If the list has a mai...

From the Pew Research Center: A Divided and Pessimistic Electorate

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More evidence that Trump and Clinton supporters live in two different worlds, and see the problems facing the nation in two different ways. ...
Sunday, November 13, 2016

From Salon: How did we get here? Largely by way of Bill Clinton, Barack Obama and the big GOP victories of 1994 and 2010

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The author puts the 2016 election in some historical context - going back to 1992 when Democratic presidents started playing to the politica...
Saturday, November 12, 2016

From 538: Voter Turnout Fell, Especially In States That Clinton Won

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We noticed this in class this week. - Click here for the article . Early voting surged. Election Day voting plummeted. The net result: ...
Thursday, November 10, 2016

From Scientific American: Explaining Donald Trump's Shock Election Win Five factors behind America’s staggering decision

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Here's what they isolate: - Click here for the article . 1. SILENT TRUMP VOTE   2. CELEBRITY BEAT ORGANIZATION   3. POPULIST RE...

From the Pew Research Center: Behind Trump’s victory: Divisions by race, gender, education

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Expect lot's of analysis in the coming days. Here's a look at the divides that revealed themselves in Tuesday's election in comp...

Let's compare 2016 with previous elections.

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For use in class: David Leip's political atlas . Neither Trump not Clinton received as many votes as the winner in 2012, 2008 or 2004....

From Vox: Few predicted Trump had a good shot of winning. But political science models did.

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Not everyone got the election wrong. Forecasts based on fundamentals were more accurate than those based on polls - which were actually acc...
Wednesday, November 9, 2016

From Vox: Trump won. But so did marijuana legalization, gun control, and minimum wage increases.

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An odd result since these are all liberal proposals. - Click here for the story . By all accounts, the biggest races on Election Day were...

From the Houston Press: Gonzalez Unseats Hickman to Become Harris County Sheriff

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State and national races aside, Democrats did well in Harrow County - Click here for the article . Democratic challenger Ed Gonzalez defe...