the weaker party
If you don't know the rules, you don't know how to play the game.
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
Monday, April 6, 2026
From the Lobby: The Longest Government Shutdown in U.S. History Is Happening Right Now
The Longest Government Shutdown in U.S. History Is Happening Right Now
Congress is on spring recess. The Department of Homeland Security is not funded. Today marks Day 51 of the longest government shutdown in American history, surpassing the 35-day full government shutdown in 2018-2019. And as of this morning, lawmakers still haven't agreed on how to end it.
So: how did we get here, what's actually being fought over, and is there an end in sight? Let's break it all down.
How We Got Here
To understand this shutdown, you have to go back to January.
The Trump administration had been running a large-scale immigration enforcement operation in Minneapolis called "Operation Metro Surge." On January 7, an ICE agent fatally shot Renée Good, a 37-year-old American woman, while she was in her car. Federal officials said she tried to run over the agent. Video footage reviewed by multiple news outlets and Minneapolis's own mayor appeared to contradict that account. Then on January 25, federal agents fatally shot Alex Pretti, another American citizen, during a confrontation near an ongoing protest. Pretti was a lawful gun owner with a carry permit and no criminal record, and eyewitness accounts again challenged the federal government's version of events.
The two killings set off massive protests, a statewide business strike, and bipartisan calls for investigation. More importantly for our purposes, they completely reshaped the politics of funding the Department of Homeland Security.
Democrats drew a line. They refused to approve any new funding for ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) or CBP (Customs and Border Protection) without reforms to how those agencies operate: body cameras for agents, a ban on face coverings during operations, judicial warrants to enter homes and businesses, and an end to racial profiling, among other demands. Republicans passed a full-year DHS funding bill through the House without those reforms, but it couldn't clear the Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold. DHS funding lapsed on February 14, and the shutdown began.
What's at Stake
TSA agents have been working without pay for nearly two months. By late March, callout rates hit 40-50% at some airports, security wait times exceeded four and a half hours (TSA called them the longest in the agency's history), and more than 500 officers quit outright. Beyond airports, FEMA has been operating at reduced capacity, Coast Guard personnel have been working without full resources, cybersecurity operations have been scaled back, and security preparations for the 2026 FIFA World Cup and 2028 Olympics have been disrupted.
Here's the irony: ICE and CBP (the agencies at the center of this fight) have been largely fine. Last year's Republican tax-and-spending package included roughly $75 billion in separate funding for immigration enforcement. The agencies Democrats are refusing to fund already have money. The agencies that don't have money are the ones nobody is arguing about.
The Standoff
Over the past seven weeks, Congress has been stuck in a loop.
The Senate's approach was to fund everything at DHS except ICE and CBP, since those agencies already have cash from last year. This was designed to end the shutdown for the parts of DHS that are actually running out of money. The Senate passed this bill unanimously on March 26. The House rejected it, passed its own 60-day extension funding the entire department (including ICE and CBP), and sent that to the Senate, where Democrats declared it dead on arrival. Two bills, zero overlap. Then everyone left for a two-week spring recess.
On April 1, something shifted. Trump urged Republicans to fund ICE and CBP through budget reconciliation (a process that only requires a simple majority in the Senate, bypassing a Democratic filibuster). Hours later, Speaker Johnson and Majority Leader Thune released a joint statement endorsing a "two-track" plan: first, pass the Senate's bill to reopen most of DHS immediately; second, fund ICE and CBP separately through reconciliation by June 1. This was a big reversal for Johnson, who had called the Senate bill "a joke" less than a week earlier.
The Senate passed the bill again on April 2 by unanimous consent, sending it back to the House. But the House hasn't voted on it. Johnson told Republicans he won't schedule a vote until the Senate shows real progress on the reconciliation bill. His members don't trust the Senate to follow through on the second track if the House goes first on the first one. Meanwhile, Trump signed executive orders to pay TSA agents and then all DHS employees using existing funds, which has eased the immediate pain but also reduced the political urgency to cut a deal.
What to Watch
Congress returns April 14. That's the earliest realistic window for a House vote. The key variable is whether the Senate Budget Committee (chaired by Lindsey Graham) can show enough progress on the ICE/CBP reconciliation bill to give House Republicans cover to vote for the two-track plan. Freedom Caucus members like Rep. Scott Perry have said they'll never vote for a bill that excludes immigration enforcement funding, so Johnson will need to figure out exactly how many Republican defections he can absorb.
A deal exists on paper. Whether it can survive the politics is the open question. We'll be watching when Congress gavels back in next week.
Dear ChatGPT: List the history of government shutdowns in American
- Click here for the answer.
- Detail the history of the 1995–96 government shutdown.
Why Shutdowns Happen
Root cause: breakdown in the federal appropriations process
Legal trigger: Antideficiency Act.
- Prohibits agencies from spending money not appropriated by Congress
Turning point: Benjamin Civiletti opinions (1980–1981)
- Required agencies to actually shut down operations, rather than continue informally
Before 1980, funding gaps occurred, but full shutdowns did not.
Dear ChatGPT: Outline the appropriations process on the national level
- Outline the appropriations process on the national level.
Process Map
- Congress adopts budget resolution
- Spending caps allocated (302(a), 302(b))
- Subcommittees draft 12 bills
- House & Senate pass versions
- Conference resolves differences
- President signs into law
- Agencies execute spending
The 12 Subcommittees (core jurisdictions):
- Agriculture
- Commerce–Justice–Science
- Defense
- Energy & Water
- Financial Services
- Homeland Security
- Interior–Environment
- Labor–HHS–Education
- Legislative Branch
- Military Construction–VA
- State–Foreign Operations
- Transportation–HUD
- Outline the appropriations process in Texas.
I. Constitutional Foundation
II. Key Institutional Actors
III. Budget Cycle Overview (Biennial)
IV. Structure of the Budget Bill
V. Key Constraints & Features
VI. Supplemental & Interim Budgeting
VII. Timeline (Simplified)
VIII. Practical Reality (Important Insight)
IX. Connection to Texas Fiscal Culture
- Organized by:
- - Article I: General Government
- - Article II: Health & Human Services
- - Article III: Education
- - Article IV: Judiciary
- - Article V: Public Safety
- - Article VI: Natural Resources
- - Article VII: Business & Economic Development
- - Article VIII: Regulatory
- - Article IX: General Provisions
- Outline the appropriations process in local governments in Texas.
I. Constitutional & Legal Foundation
II. Types of Local Governments (Different Appropriation Systems)
III. Core Structure of the Local Appropriations Process
IV. Key Legal Constraints on Local Appropriations
V. Differences from State/Federal Appropriations
VI. Special Notes for Texas (Important for Your Research)
VII. Simplified Flowchart
Sunday, April 5, 2026
From the Texas Tribune: This state agency was created to investigate Texas universities. How that works is a mystery.
- Click here for the article.
A new state office with the power to investigate whether public universities in Texas are violating laws on diversity, curriculum and campus decision-making has no written policies explaining how those investigations work, even after accepting complaints for nearly three months.
The ombudsman accepts complaints from students, faculty and staff alleging violations of two state laws:
A 2023 ban on diversity, equity and inclusion offices, programs and training at public colleges and universities.
A 2025 law limiting faculty’s role in some curriculum, grievance and discipline decisions.
The stakes are high: If the office finds a university violated a law and the school does not fix the problem within a set time, the ombudsman can recommend that lawmakers cut access to state funds until the school complies.
State law requires the office to provide complainants and subjects of complaints with a copy of its policies and procedures for complaint investigation and resolution. But when The Texas Tribune asked for those documents, Ombudsman Brandon Simmons pointed to a page on the office’s website that describes how complaints are filed and sets deadlines for when universities must be notified and respond and when the office must issue reports. It is unclear whether that satisfies the law’s requirements.
Friday, April 3, 2026
Tuesday, March 31, 2026
Conversion Therapy
- Oyez: Chiles v. Salazar.
- Wikipedia: Conversion therapy.
- Wikipedia: Conversion therapy in the United States.
- Jim Campbell.
- Economic Burden Of LGBTQ+ Conversion Therapy Is $9 Billion.
Monday, March 30, 2026
From the CRS: The Appropriations Process: A Brief Overview
- Click here for it.
A summary from AI Overview:
Key Stages in the Appropriations Process
President’s Budget Request: The process begins, usually in February, with the President submitting a budget proposal to Congress.
Budget Resolution: Congress passes a budget resolution setting top-line spending limits (302(a) allocations) for the House and Senate Appropriations Committees
Subcommittee Allocations (302(b)): The Appropriations Committees divide the total budget into 12 parts, or 302(b) allocations, for each of their 12 subcommittees.
Drafting & Markup: Subcommittees hold hearings and write their specific funding bills.
House and Senate Action: Bills are debated, amended, and voted on by the full House and Senate.
Conference Committee: Differences between the House and Senate versions of the bills are negotiated and resolved.
Final Approval & Signature: The reconciled, final bill must be approved by both houses and signed by the President to become law.
Key Concepts
Fiscal Year: The federal fiscal year runs from October 1 to September 30.
Omnibus Bill: If the 12 bills are not passed individually, they are often combined into an "omnibus" bill to fund the government, as described by the Library of Congress Research Guides.
Continuing Resolution (CR): Temporary funding legislation used if the regular bills are not passed by October 1, allowing agencies to continue operating, as explained in this YouTube video.
Authorization vs. Appropriation: A two-step process where "authorizations" establish programs and recommend funding, while "appropriations" actually provide the funds to spend, says EveryCRSReport.com.
If Congress cannot pass the bills or a CR, a government shutdown occurs, as detailed in this YouTube video.
Sunday, March 29, 2026
From USA Facts: State of the Budget in Numbers
A concise graphical look at the fiscal year 2025 federal budget.
- Click here for it.
What is Propaganda?
- Click here for the full answer.
Propaganda is a form of communication designed to influence people’s beliefs, attitudes, or actions, usually by presenting information in a selective, emotional, or misleading way rather than in a balanced or fully factual manner.
Propaganda = persuasion with an agenda (often using bias or manipulation).
It’s commonly used by governments, political movements, corporations, or activist groups to shape public opinion.
Key Characteristics
- Selective information → highlights favorable facts, ignores opposing ones
- Emotional appeal → fear, pride, anger, hope
- Simplification → reduces complex issues into slogans or symbols
- Repetition → messages repeated until they feel true
- Audience targeting → tailored to specific groups
Here are some classic techniques:
- Name-calling → attacking opponents with labels
- Glittering generalities → vague positive words (freedom, justice)
- Fear appeals → warning of danger if you don’t agree
- Testimonial → endorsement by a celebrity or authority
- Card stacking → presenting only one side of the story
What is the Iron Law of Oligarchy?
- Click here for the full answer.
“Who says organization, says oligarchy.”
In other words, as organizations grow larger and more complex, power naturally concentrates in the hands of a few leaders—regardless of the organization’s original ideals.
This happens because:
1. Organization Requires Leadership
- Large groups need:
- administrators
- specialists
- organizers
- communicators
Over time, these leaders accumulate control over:
- information
- resources
- decision-making processes
2. Members Become Passive
Most members:
- don’t have time to participate constantly
- rely on leaders to manage day-to-day operations
- gradually defer authority to them
This increases leaders’ power.
3. Leaders Develop Interests of Their Own
Once leaders control an organization, they often:
- prioritize preserving their own positions
- develop networks of allies
- resist reforms that might reduce their authority
This creates a self-reinforcing cycle of leadership dominance.
Friday, March 27, 2026
Dear ChatGPT: Outline the growth of AIPAC and its political strategies.
- Click here for the full answer.
I. Origins and Early Growth (1950s–1970s)
II. Institutional Expansion (1970s–1990s)
III. Professionalization & Mass Mobilization (1990s–2010s)
IV. New Phase: Direct Political Spending & Polarization (2016–2026)
V. Core Political Strategies (Cross-Cutting)
VI. Why AIPAC Became So Influential
VII. 2000–2026: Notable Shift (Key Insight)
Dear ChatGPT: Why is Israel so politically powerful in the United States?
- Click here for the full answer.
Israel’s political influence in the United States comes from a combination of strategic, domestic, and institutional factors—not a single cause. It’s best understood as the intersection of foreign policy priorities, organized advocacy, and broader political dynamics.
1) Strategic & Military Alliance
2) Strong Domestic Political Support
3) Organized Advocacy & Lobbying
4) Historical & Cultural Factors
5) U.S. Political System Amplifies Organized Interests
6) Lack of Equivalent Counter-Lobby
Israel is politically powerful in the U.S. because:
- It is a strategic military ally
- It has broad, durable domestic political support
- It benefits from highly organized advocacy networks
- It fits into historical, cultural, and ideological narratives
- And the U.S. system rewards organized, persistent influence
But:
The influence of Israel in U.S. politics hasn’t disappeared—but it has changed significantly from 2000 → 2026.
The biggest shift is this: From broad, bipartisan, low-conflict support → to polarized, contested, and increasingly partisan influence.
1) 2000–2010: Peak bipartisan consensus
2) 2010–2016: Early cracks (Obama–Netanyahu tensions)
3) 2016–2020: Israel becomes tied to the Republican coalition
4) 2020–2023: Generational and ideological fracture
5) 2023–2026: Major rupture (Gaza war era)
6) What HASN’T changed (important)
7) The big picture shift (2000 → 2026)
8) The most important structural change
Thursday, March 26, 2026
Dear ChatGPT: What political forces supported the passage of school vouchers in Texas? What political forces opposed it?
- Click here for the full answer.
Political forces that supported vouchers
1. Republican statewide leadership & conservative movement
2. Conservative donors, PACs, and national “school choice” networks
3. Pro–school choice advocacy organizations
4. Religious schools and parts of the private school sector
5. Ideological conservatives & libertarians
Political forces that opposed vouchers
1. Public school system stakeholders (most powerful opposition bloc)
2. Teachers unions and education advocacy groups
3. Democratic Party (near-unified opposition)
4. Rural Republicans (key historical opposition)
5. Some private schools and religious conservatives (minor but notable)
Dear ChatGPT: Who is Jeff Yass? How has he influenced Texas politics?
- Click here for the full answer.
- Co-founder of Susquehanna International Group (a major options-trading and investment firm)
- Net worth: about $60–65+ billion, among the richest Americans
- Ideology: libertarian-leaning; heavily funds conservative and pro-market causes
- Signature issue: school choice / vouchers—he has spent hundreds of millions nationally to expand them
How has Jeff Yass influenced Texas politics?
1) Massive direct funding of Texas campaigns
2) Driving the school voucher / “school choice” agenda
3) Influencing Republican primaries (not just general elections)
4) Strengthening national → state political pipelines
5) Influence beyond elections (policy + institutions)
He has become one of the most influential individuals in Texas politics by:
- Injecting unprecedented amounts of money into campaigns
- Targeting Republican primaries to enforce ideological alignment
- Successfully pushing school voucher policy from stalled idea → enacted program
His role is part of a broader shift:
- Texas politics is increasingly shaped by a small number of ultra-wealthy donors with national agendas.
Dear ChatGPT: List the top donors to Greg Abbott's campaigns over the years.
- Click here for the full answer.
Top Individual Donors (Recurring / High-Dollar)
1. Jeff Yass
2. Javaid Anwar
3. Miriam Adelson
4. Kelcy Warren
5. Kenneth Fisher
6. Edward Roski Jr.
7. Mackenzie Price
8. Harold Simmons
9. Monty Bennett
Major PACs & Organizational Donors
10. Texans for Greg Abbott PAC
11. Texas Republican Leadership Fund
12. Texans for Lawsuit Reform
Industry-Based Donor Base (Structural Pattern)
- Oil & Gas companies (e.g., ExxonMobil, Chevron, Valero, Koch network)
- Real estate & development interests
- Private equity / finance sector
- School choice / education reform donors (post-2023 surge)
- Trial-lawyer reform / business coalitions
1. Extreme concentration at the top
2. Billionaire-driven fundraising model
3. Policy-linked donations
4. Nationalization of donor base
Wednesday, March 25, 2026
Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Dear ChatGPT: How do political parties overcome the checks and balances?
Are poltiical parties to blame for the rise of authoritarianism?
- Click here for the answer.
Monday, March 23, 2026
Sunday, March 22, 2026
News items for 3/22/2026
- Super PAC spending passes $200M, with some groups hiding their cause.
- Texas has taken over issuing permits to store carbon underground. Here’s what to know.
- Corpus Christi’s crucial refineries look for alternate water supplies amid looming water crisis.
- Harris County becomes first in Texas to allow employees to organize with new 'consultation policy'
- Legislative Analysis for Counties: FY 2026 Appropriations.
- 2026 Interim Legislative Charges –Round 1.
Ask ChatGPT: How might a Democracy turn into an Authoritarian System?
- Click here for the full answer.
A democracy rarely collapses overnight—it typically erodes step by step. Political scientists often describe this as democratic backsliding. Here’s a clear, structured breakdown of how that transformation can happen:
1. Election of Anti-Democratic Leaders
- A democracy can elect leaders who do not fully believe in democratic norms.
Key pattern:
- Leaders claim “the system is broken”
- Promise to restore order, greatness, or stability
- Portray themselves as the only solution
Example logic:
- Crisis (economic, security, cultural) → public fear → voters accept stronger authority
2. Undermining Democratic Norms
- Even without changing laws, leaders can weaken the unwritten rules of democracy.
Core norms that erode:
- Respect for opposition
- Acceptance of election results
- Avoidance of political violence
What happens:
- Opponents are labeled as “enemies” or “traitors”
- Elections are preemptively framed as fraudulent
- Public trust in institutions declines
3. Capturing Institutions
- This is the turning point: leaders begin to control the referees of democracy.
Targeted institutions:
- Courts (judicial independence weakened)
- Election systems
- Law enforcement / prosecutors
- Bureaucracy (civil service replaced with loyalists)
Outcome: Rules still exist—but are no longer applied fairly
4. Attacking the Media & Information Flow
- Authoritarian-leaning leaders try to control narratives.
Methods:
- Discredit independent journalism (“fake news”)
- Promote state-aligned media
- Use propaganda or disinformation
- Pressure or censor critics
Effect: Citizens can’t easily distinguish truth from political messaging
5. Changing the Rules of the Game
- At this stage, formal democratic structures are altered.
Common tactics:
- Gerrymandering or manipulating districts
- Restricting voting access
- Changing constitutions or term limits
- Expanding executive powers
Important point: These changes are often legal on paper, but anti-democratic in effect
6. Weakening or Eliminating Opposition
- Once power is consolidated:
Escalation includes:
- Harassment or prosecution of opponents
- Banning political parties
- Intimidation or violence
- Use of emergency powers
7. Consolidation into Authoritarianism
- Eventually, the system still looks like a democracy—but isn’t.
Characteristics:
- Elections exist but are not competitive
- Courts and media are controlled
- Opposition cannot realistically win
- Power becomes entrenched
Most modern authoritarian systems emerge from within democracies, not through coups.
Instead of tanks in the streets, the shift often happens through:
- Elections
- Laws
- Gradual normalization of power concentration
Ask ChatGPT: What is a Democracy? What are the Advantages and Disadvantages of Democracy?
- Click here for the full answer.
A democracy is a system of government in which political power ultimately comes from the people. The public either directly makes decisions or elects representatives to make decisions on their behalf.
A democracy is a system where the people hold power, usually through voting and representation.
Core Idea
- - Democracy = rule by the people
- The word comes from Greek:
- - demos = people
- - kratos = power or rule
Key Features of a Democracy
1. Free and Fair Elections
- Citizens can vote in regular elections where:
- - Multiple candidates or parties compete
- - Votes are counted fairly
- - Leaders can be replaced peacefully
2. Political Equality
- Each citizen generally has:
- - Equal voting rights (“one person, one vote”)
- - Equal legal status under the law
3. Majority Rule with Minority Rights
- Decisions are usually made by majority vote
- But minority rights are protected (speech, religion, due process, etc.)
4. Rule of Law
- Laws apply to everyone, including leaders
- Government actions are constrained by a constitution or legal framework
5. Civil Liberties
- Democracies protect freedoms such as:
- - Speech
- - Press
- - Assembly
- - Religion
Types of Democracy
- Direct Democracy
- - Citizens vote on laws and policies themselves
- - Example: Ancient Athens (historically), modern referendums
- Representative Democracy (Most common today)
- - People elect officials to govern on their behalf
- - Example: United States
Why Democracies Exist
- Democracies are built on the idea that:
- - Government gains legitimacy from the consent of the governed
- - People should have a say in decisions that affect their lives
What are the advantages of democracy?
Power is widely shared and publicly accountable. Here are the major advantages, with a focus on why they matter in practice.
1. Political Legitimacy (Consent of the Governed)
- Governments derive authority from the people’s approval
- Citizens are more likely to accept laws they had a role in shaping
- - Why it matters: Reduces instability and increases long-term trust in government.
2. Protection of Individual Rights
- Democracies typically safeguard:
- - Freedom of speech
- - Freedom of religion
- - Due process
- - - These protections are often embedded in constitutions and enforced by courts.
3. Accountability of Leaders
- Leaders can be voted out of office
- Elections act as a regular “check” on power
- - Example: In systems like the United States, officials must face voters at set intervals.
4. Peaceful Transfer of Power
- Leadership changes happen through elections—not violence
- Reduces coups, civil conflict, and instability
5. Political Equality
- Each citizen typically has one vote
- No formal hierarchy of political
What are the disadvantages of democracy?
1. Slow Decision-Making
- Because democracies require:
- - Debate
- - Elections
- - Checks and balances
- - - policy decisions can be slow and gridlocked, especially in crises.
- - - Example: In systems like the United States, divided government can delay budgets, reforms, or emergency actions.
2. Risk of Majority Tyranny
- Democracy relies on majority rule—but:
- - Majorities can override minority rights
- - Popular policies can still be unjust
- - - This concern was famously raised in Federalist No. 10.
3. Influence of Money and Interest Groups
- Elections require funding, which can lead to:
- - Wealthy donors having disproportionate influence
- - Lobbying shaping policy outcomes
- - Campaigns favoring well-funded candidates
- - - In practice, this can distort the “rule of the people” into rule by organized interests.
4. Voter Knowledge & Apathy
- Democracy assumes informed citizens—but:
- - Many voters lack time or information to fully evaluate issues
- - Complex policies are hard to understand
- - Low turnout or disengagement weakens representation
5. Short-Term Focus (Election Cycles)
- Elected officials often prioritize:
- - Policies that win the next election
- - Immediate benefits over long-term stability
- This can lead to:
- - Underinvestment in infrastructure
- - Avoidance of difficult reforms
6. Susceptibility to Populism
- Leaders may:
- - Appeal to emotions rather than facts
- - Exploit fears or divisions
- - - In extreme cases, democracies can elect leaders who then weaken democratic institutions.
7. Political Polarization
- Competing parties and ideologies can lead to:
- - Deep social divisions
- - Legislative stalemate
- - Distrust in institutions
8. Inefficiency and Bureaucracy
- Democratic systems often involve:
- - Multiple branches of government
- - Oversight mechanisms
- - Legal challenges
- This can create:
- - Administrative complexity
- - Slower implementation of policy
9. Risk of Democratic Backsliding
- Democracies can gradually weaken through:
- - Erosion of norms
- - Attacks on courts or media
- - Manipulation of elections
- This is how some systems shift toward authoritarianism without a single dramatic event.
Bottom Line: Democracy prioritizes participation, legitimacy, and freedom—but often at the cost of speed, efficiency, and sometimes consistency.
Ask ChatGPT: What is Authoritarianism?
- ChatGPT's answer.
Authoritarianism is a system of government in which power is concentrated in a single leader or a small group, and political freedoms are limited or controlled.
Key Characteristics
1. Concentration of Power
- Power is held by one ruler (e.g., dictator) or a small elite group
- Little to no meaningful checks and balances
2. Limited Political Freedom
- Elections (if they exist) are often controlled or not fully competitive
- Opposition parties may be restricted or banned
3. Weak Rule of Law
- Laws are often used to protect the regime, not constrain it
- Courts may lack independence
4. Control of Media and Information
- Government may censor or dominate media
- Limits on free speech and press
5. Reduced Civil Liberties
- Restrictions on:
- - Speech
- - Assembly
- - Political participation
Types of Authoritarian Regimes
- Military regimes (rule by armed forces)
- Single-party states (one political party dominates)
- Personalist dictatorships (rule centered on one individual)
- Hybrid regimes (mix of democratic forms + authoritarian control)
Simple Example: An authoritarian government might:
- Hold elections, but only allow certain candidates
- Permit media, but heavily censor criticism
- Allow courts, but influence their decisions
Authoritarianism prioritizes order and control over political freedom and participation.
- The Imperial Presidency.
- The Unitary Executive Theory.
The Melian Dialogue
A brutal look at what drives political behavior.
"The strong do what they can, the weak suffer what they must."
You Tube: The Melian Dialogue.
You Tube: On The Melian Dialogue.
For more:
- What is Political Realism?
Power, survival, and self-interest drive political behavior more than morality, ideals, or law.
- What is Political Idealism?
Political idealism is a way of thinking about politics that emphasizes moral values, principles, and the possibility of improving society through cooperation and ethical behavior.
- What is Realpolitik?
Realpolitik (often written realpolitik) is a political approach that prioritizes practical outcomes, power, and national interests over ideology, morality, or idealism.
Friday, March 20, 2026
Dear ChatGPT
- What are the most powerful political interest in the United States?
- What are the most powerful political interest in Texas?
- What are the most powerful political interest in the Houston area?
- What are the most powerful political interest in Pearland?
- What are the most powerful political interest in Alvin?
- What are the most powerful political interest in Galveston?
Thursday, March 19, 2026
From the Texas Tribune: Texas accepts some Islamic schools into voucher program after lawsuits
An example of national / state conflict, among other things.
- Click here.
Four Muslim parents and three Islamic private school providers that operate four campuses had sued Texas leaders for excluding the schools while accepting hundreds of other non-Islamic schools.
The two federal lawsuits asked the court to block the private school voucher program from discriminating on the basis of religion. As part of the dispute, U.S. District Judge Alfred Bennett has extended the voucher application deadline to March 31 and ordered the state to consider the schools’ request to join the voucher program. The next hearing is set for April 24.
The first lawsuit, filed March 1 by a parent acting on behalf of two children who attend a Houston private school, names Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, Acting Comptroller Kelly Hancock and Education Commissioner Mike Morath as defendants. A second suit filed March 11 by three parents and three schools names Hancock and Mary Katherine Stout, the voucher program director, as defendants. The two cases are now consolidated into one.
Dear ChatGPT: What role does the Texas Comptroller play regarding the private school voucher program?
Why not the TEA?
From the Texas Tribune: Texas jails aren’t meeting deadlines to free inmates, costing some counties thousands in settlements
- Click here.
The state does not track the prevalence or provide guidance on the issue, leaving inmates to languish in jail and eventually sue counties for damages.
. . . It’s unknown exactly how many Texans in county jails are kept well past the time they’re supposed to be released. That’s because no state agency tracks the number of so-called post-conviction over-detentions, and no state law prevents or punishes it. State agencies, including the Texas Department of Criminal Justice and the Texas Commission on Jail Standards, also do not formally track the number of over-detention cases.
Multiple attorneys told The Texas Tribune that delays in “pen packets” are often the reason why people are overstaying their sentences, including in about a dozen cases in the last five years that the Tribune reviewed. These packets are a collection of documents about an inmate’s impending release that counties must send to the Texas Department of Criminal Justice to be processed before release.
State law outlines deadlines for TDCJ to process pen packets, but does not require counties to send the documents to TDCJ on time. Counties have attributed delays to a variety of reasons including difficulties with technology or calculating an inmate’s sentence, but all result in late releases.
. . . Without state oversight, over-detention victims have resorted to private lawsuits to get compensation, which can be a time-consuming way of getting reparations and expensive for counties. In February, 102 inmates settled a $1.5 million lawsuit against Smith County for pen packet delays that kept them confined beyond the end of their sentence, the largest settlement in Texas for victims of over-detention.
The settlement payouts lead to taxpayers having to “foot the bill twice” in many cases, said Nick Hudson, a policy and advocacy strategist with ACLU Texas: paying for the resources to house people for additional days in jail, then again for any resulting lawsuits.
From Chron: Brazoria County shoots down tax breaks for planned $3 billion AI project
- Click here.
"We cannot stop this project," Brazoria County Judge Matt Sebesta said during Tuesday's meeting. "We do not have the tools. We can only do what the legislature allows us to do. They do not give us the power to stop this project."
According to company documents shared with the court, Oakland-based Nightpeak Energy plans to build a 310 MW natural gas-powered turbine facility through its Bulldog Power subsidiary. The plant, adjacent to a Texas-New Mexico Power substation, would in turn power Nightpeak's 310 MW Old Ocean twin data centers, which Dallas-based property-tax consultants K.E. Andrews valued at $3 billion.
The project would create 300 jobs during construction, and another 20 to operate the center, the company said. Nightpeak had requested four tax abatements from the county, one for each component of the project, and each one asking for a 100 percent abatement over 10 years, The Facts reported.
- What is a tax abatement?
A tax abatement is a temporary reduction, exemption, or elimination of taxes granted by a government—usually to encourage some public goal.
Why Governments Use Tax Abatements
They’re typically used as economic development tools, especially at the local level (cities, counties, school districts).
Common goals:
- Attract new businesses or industries
- Encourage job creation
- Promote real estate development
- Revitalize declining areas
- Support infrastructure or industrial projects
How It Works (Typical Structure)
- A company or developer proposes a project
- The local government negotiates an agreement
- Taxes (usually property taxes) are reduced for a set period
- The company must meet conditions (e.g., jobs, investment levels)
Pros vs. Cons
Advantages
- Attracts investment without immediate spending
- Can stimulate local economies
- Politically easier than raising taxes
Criticisms
- Reduces funding for schools and local services
- May benefit companies that would have invested anyway
- Can create uneven tax burdens (others pay more)
Wednesday, March 18, 2026
- ChatGPT: What is the history of political parties in Brazoria County?
- ChatGPT: How have interests in Brazoria County evolved over its history?
- ChatGPT: What groups spend the most money on campaigns in Brazoria County?
- ChatGPT: How much money has spent spent in recent years on campaigns in Brazoria County?
- ChatGPT: Which candidates in Brazoria County are self financed?
Common Carrier
In a discussion on pipelines I mentioned the concepot of a common carrier. Its a specific type of business that provides a good for public use.
This gives it a unique semi-governmental status which allows it, among other things, to have eminent domain declared on private property.
From ChatGPT: What is a common carrier?
A common carrier is a business or entity that offers transportation or communication services to the general public under legal obligation, and must serve customers without discrimination as long as reasonable terms are met.
etc. . .
Tuesday, March 17, 2026
Texas Election News
- Democratic turnout doubles in Rio Grande Valley where four Hispanic counties previously went for Trump.
- Jace Yarbrough is GOP nominee in North Texas congressional district after second-place finisher bows out.
- Dallas County GOP will agree to countywide voting sites after primary election chaos.
- Cornyn, Paxton decline to withdraw from Texas Senate runoff ballot as deadline passes.
Fron ChatGPT: Federalist No. 10 in 5 simple points (super short version)
1 - Factions are inevitable: People naturally form groups with different interests and opinions.
2 - Factions can be dangerous: They may act against the common good or harm others—especially if a majority is involved.
3 - You can’t remove factions:
- Destroying liberty = unacceptable
- Making everyone think the same = impossible
4 - So you must control their effects: Government should prevent factions from gaining too much power.
5 - A large republic is the solution: A big, representative government makes it harder for any one faction to dominate and protects minority rights.
From 3/16/26
- GHPB: Who we are.
- GHPB: Board of Directors.
- What is a Port Authority?
- How much trade to the Port of Houston flows through the Strait of Hormuz?
- NYT: Trump’s Threat to Delay Summit With Xi Casts New Shadow Over China Relations.
- Choke Points.
- How did the global supply chain develop?
- What is maritime law? What is the law of nations?
Monday, March 16, 2026
Sunday, March 15, 2026
For March 16 - 20
- What is politics?
- Federalist 10.
- ChatGPT: Federalist 10.
- ChatGPT: What is a political party?
- ChatGPT: Outline the development of political parties in the US.
- ChatGPT: Outline the development of political parties in Texas.
- ChatGPT: List the groups that are currently aligned with the Republican Party.
- ChatGPT: List the groups that are currently aligned with the Democratic Party.
Catching up with the 1000 word essay
2305:
Develop an essay which focuses on a narrow issue related to AI regulations. Try to explain the issue as thoroughly as you can and determine what types of actions - if any - are likely to be passed and implemented. What might the results of these efforts be?
A few things to discuss:
- What is a regulation?
- What types of regulations have been proposed for artificial intelligence?
- Where do Democrats and Republicans differ regarding AI regulations? Where do they agree?
2306:
One consequence of federalism is conflict between levels of government. The nature of it changes over time as circumstances change, but it is ongoing. Often this is because one level of government attempts to control another.
I'd like you to explore one of these three areas where this is occuring. If you can think of others, you are free to explore those as well:
National Control of State Militias
National Control of State Regulatory Policy
State Control of Local Regulatory Policy in Texas
- What types of conflicts are common between the national and state governments?
- What types of conflicts are common between the state of Texas and local government in Texas?
Wednesday, March 11, 2026
From the Texas Tribune: After a decade of missteps, Corpus Christi careens toward water catastrophe
- Click here for the article.
The imminent depletion of water supplies in Corpus Christi threatens to cut off the flow of jet fuel to Texas airports and other oil exports from one of the nation’s largest petroleum ports, triggering potential shockwaves through energy markets in Texas and beyond.
Other current and former officials, alarmed at what they call a lack of preparations, have suggested the potential for an economic crisis involving mass layoffs, disruption of fuel supplies and billions of dollars in emergency spending to avoid an evacuation of the city.
Strawbridge, who now lives in Houston, laid the blame on city leaders, citing “their lack of experience, their lack of knowledge, their lack of recognizing the risks” in a bumbling, decade-long endeavor to build a large seawater desalination plant that would veer the region off its clear course toward calamity.
“They’ve found themselves in quite a dire predicament as a result of those poor decisions,” Strawbridge said. “Time is up.”
A spokesperson for Corpus Christi Mayor Paulette Guajardo declined interview requests, citing “prior commitments,” and did not respond to follow-up questions. City manager Peter Zanoni also did not respond to questions. Instead, Corpus Christi public information manager Robert Gonzales provided an emailed statement.
“The water shortage in the Coastal Bend is the result of a historic five-year drought,” it said. “Currently, the City of Corpus Christi has $1 billion in City Council-approved and funded water projects underway to address our water needs. The City remains committed to ensuring water security for the more than 500,000 residents and our commercial and industrial customers.”
In an emailed statement on Monday, Gonzales called this story “an incomplete and alarmist narrative.”
Monday, March 9, 2026
Dear ChatGPT: What is the constitutional definition of war?
- Click here for the full answer.
Short constitutional takeaway
Dear ChatGPT: How is war power shared between the three branches?
- Click here for the full answer.
War powers in the U.S. constitutional system are deliberately divided among the three branches to prevent any single actor from unilaterally taking the nation into war. The framers designed this arrangement as part of the broader checks-and-balances structure in the Constitution.
1. Congress: Authority to Initiate and Fund War
- Congress holds the primary constitutional authority over war decisions.
2. The President: Commander in Chief
- The president directs the military once forces are authorized or deployed.
3. The Judiciary: Interpreting War Powers
- Courts rarely initiate war decisions but interpret the legality of wartime actions.
Sunday, March 8, 2026
From the New York Times: House Turns Back Bid to Restrict Trump’s War Powers in Iran
- Click here for the article.
The House voted down an effort on Thursday to halt the war against Iran and force President Trump to go to Congress for authorization, as a small bloc of Democrats joined nearly all Republicans in delivering an early sign of support for the war in the Middle East.
The vote fell almost entirely along party lines, but it also highlighted splinters in both parties. Four Democrats crossed party lines to oppose the resolution, while two Republicans broke from their party to support it, citing concerns of executive overreach and disregard for the legislative branch.
“The Constitution is clear: Our Constitution provides Congress initiatory powers of war,” Representative Thomas Massie, Republican of Kentucky and the lead sponsor of the resolution, said during debate on the House floor, directly challenging members of his own party.
See also:
- Senate Thwarts Bid to Curb Trump’s War Powers on Iran.
- H.Con.Res.38 - Directing the President pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution to remove United States Armed Forces from unauthorized hostilities in the Islamic Republic of Iran.
- S.J.Res.104 - A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress.
- Congressional Research Service: U.S. and Israeli Military Operations Against Iran: Issues for Congress.
- ChatGPT: What is the history of the War Powers Resolution?