Sunday, October 13, 2024

From CBS: "Likely R" To "Lean R": What this means for the Texas Senate race between Cruz & Allred

Not the best news for our junior senator.

- Click here for the article

Early voting in Texas starts two weeks from tomorrow, and a respected firm that predicts national elections says the Texas Senate race between Republican incumbent Ted Cruz and Democratic Congressman Colin Allred has grown more competitive.

The Cook Political Report moved the race from "Likely R" down to "Lean R".

On its website, the organization defines "Likely" as: "These races are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged." The Cook Political Report describes "Lean" as: "These races are considered competitive races, but one party has an advantage."

The four most recent polls in the Texas Senate race listed by Real Clear Politics show Cruz leading Allred by 4.75 percentage points. The rating change from the Cook Political Report comes about a week after the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee announced it is injecting millions of dollars into Allred's campaign for TV ads.

We asked Republican and former Texas Railroad Commissioner Michael Williams and Democratic political consultant and Grand Prairie Deputy Mayor Pro Tem Junior Ezeonu about the state of the race.

Williams told Jack that Texas remains a red state. "We're not even close to being a swing state or close to being a battleground state. We're red, solidly red, and that's not going to change in this election cycle."

Ezeonu agreed that Texas isn't a true swing state yet and said turnout is always key. "Can you get the voters out, can you energize the base and then get those moderates, swing voters that may not like Trump, may not like Cruz and want to look at someone else."