Sunday, November 17, 2013

Not a nation of moderates - and little evidence of a political realignment

The Dish flags a paper by some political scientists who challenge the idea that we are a nation of moderates. It depends on how you measure moderation. They also argue against the notion the recent elections - like Obama's reelection in 2012 - indicate a political realignment is underway that will likely favor the Democratic Party. These two arguments are related.

If you measure it alone one dimension - for example social or economic ideology - then moderates rule, but reality is more complex. The political world not contains your standard liberals and conservatives, it also contains libertarians, populists and moderates. The former two complicate things. Libertarians are liberal on social issues and conservative on economic issues, populists are the reverse. People may be moderate on economic issues, but extreme on social issues, or vice versa. People who are moderate on both social and economic issues are very rare.

This graph purports to explain that fact: