Friday, July 27, 2007

How Lame a Duck?

Carl Cannon, a well respected presidential biographer, weighs in on the question whether George Bush is a lame duck, and if so when he became one. He also points out that the president still retains constitutional powers apart form his political strength.

Thursday, July 26, 2007

Cockfights and the First Amendment

From the a New York Times story comes this question: Does the First Amendment limit the government's ability to make the depiction of illegal conduct also illegal? Cockfighting is illegal in 49 states (thank God for Louisiana) but not Puerto Rico, but thanks to the internet you can watch it live.

The law was signed by President Clinton and was specifically tailored to depictions that appealed "to a prurient interest in sex." This put the law under the purview of obscenity laws, which are constitutional. But the broad language has led to its use to generally to deal with any depiction of animal cruelty. Lawyers suggest that the law could be used to prosecute hunting and fishing tapes and the law could also be used to prosecute a television station that shows a video of people breaking into a convenience store--that's illegal conduct also.

It could also suppress democratic debate. Says a law professor: "When you punish speech, you quell debate about matters of public controversy."

There is no First Amendment precedence for this type of law. It can go anywhere. The Third Circuit Court of Appeals has the case at the moment, but its a good bet to end up in the Supreme Court.

Newspapers

Matthew Yglesias says goodbye, and does not seem inclined to miss them.

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

It's the Candidate Stupid

Stuart Rothenberg makes a point we discussed just today in 2301 regarding demise of party identification and the rise of candidates attachment in determining how people vote. Neither Republican nor Democratic candidates are aggressively pointing out which party they belong to. A good way to distance yourself from partisan baggage.

Death Machine

Two stories in today's chron about the death penalty in Harris County.

1-Background on Johnny Holmes, the DA who aggressively pursued it.

2-A story on it's decline in the county.

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

IQ ain't everything

Apparently self-discipline is a greater indicator of academic success than smarts.

More of the Same

Gonzales testifies before the Senate Judiciary Committee again with the same results as before.

Is the White House hoping that people get tired of this and start to tune out? It could happen.

Options of Congress

A former U.S. attorney outlines additional options for Congress' efforts to check the expansion of executive power. They involve law suits and special legislation. This is out of my league so I can't comment directly. The author urges that these issues be dealt with while Bush is still in office in order to successfully retain the balance of power.

The Giant Still Sleeps

Latino voting still lags behind other group's.

"Hispanics accounted for half of the population growth in the United States between the elections of 2000 and 2004 but only one-tenth of the increase in the total votes cast, according to a Pew Hispanic Center analysis of new data from the U.S. Census Bureau. This gap between the very substantial growth of the Hispanic population and much more modest growth in Hispanic electoral clout has been developing for a generation but has widened considerably in recent years."

From the Pew Research Center.

Something Old, Something New

The Mainstream and Online media collided in last night's YouTube/CNN debate for the candidates for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination.

Here's the recap from YouTube; Here's the one from CNN.

I thought it was fresh--which is always good. The debates were far more interesting than than they normally are. I should say "debates" of course, because they there's no debate in these things. They remind me more of the question and answer portion of beauty contests. I'd rather hear each of the candidates have extended open ended interviews with smart people. Speaking of smart people here's what some had to say in Slate and FoxNews. Some of the opinion seems based on what one thing of the denizens of the online world.

In class we discussed what difference it made having people not only ask the questions, but doing it in a format they controlled. The question from the lesbian couple for example. It's one thing to speak about gay marriage in the abstract, quite another to have it posed by two pleasant looking people directly affected by your answer.

My personal favorites--and current heroes--are Jackie and Travis, the red state upstate guys from Murphysborough, Tennessee. See all of their questions here. Best one: asking John Edwards how good looking he thought he was on a scale of one to ten.

Monday, July 23, 2007

Might Sin Taxes Work?

The sales of cigarettes are down following a recent rise in taxes.

Houston v. New Orleans

A blast from the past.

Selling Houston

One of the more colorful figures in Houston government has been Jordy Tollett, the recently departed (or shoved aside) head of the Greater Houston Convention and Visitors Bureau.

He has been responsible for bringing conventions--and yes visitors--to Houston, which isn't always the easiest thing to do. His tactics have been criticized by many since they often involve introducing potential clients to Houston's vibrant adult entertainment industry.

The mayor wants to replace him, but apparently can't find a willing replacement yet. Tollett may end up replacing himself with himself.

Giving Up?

Luring Latinos over to their side was once a goal of the Republican Party.

Maybe not anymore.

Local Pork

The Sunday Chron ran an overview of our senators and House reps and the local funding they provide their constituents. Here's what they say about Kay Bailey: "A member of the Senate Appropriations Committee, Hutchison has been the go-to person in Congress for government officials and private groups in Texas who seek federal money but often are unable to secure it through the traditional method of applying to federal agencies."

Now we know.

What Voters Want

A New York Times graphic tells us which characteristics the American public wants and does not want in their candidates.

Sunday, July 22, 2007

Winning by Losing

When covering elections, we generally argue that the presidential elections of 1964 and 1972 were catastrophic failures for, respectively, the Republicans and the Democrats. After all, each party's fringe nominated candidates that were not accepted by the electorate's moderates.

But David Broder reminds us that each candidate represented a wing within the party that was growing in strength and eventually allowed the party to dominate a series of elections. The Goldwater Republicans later fixated on Reagan. Now, he suggests, the wing that brought you George McGovern--who pushed to expand the party to aggressively include women and minorities--is deciding between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, two products of that inclusion.

He suggests that the effort to find strategic politicians that scrape through with narrow victories do not leave lasting legacies.

The Pentagon takes on Hillary

And Fred Kaplan calls it a big mistake. A bit of background. Senator Clinton wrote to the Pentagon some time ago asking, as many in the Senate have, about progress in Iraq. She received what has been described as a dismissive reply suggesting that she mind her own business.

Kaplan suggests that this might be a mistake for two reasons, and it might serve as a cautionary tale to Democrats who are desperate to impeach the president: nothing rallies a group like an attack on one of their own.

The lower level Pentagon official may have simultaneously rallied (1) women, who may infer sexist condescension in the letter and (2) the Senate who see this as the military rebuffing a legitimate inquiry into how it is conducting an engagement that it sanctioned in law and continues to pay for, both monetarily and with the service of their constituents.

Robert Gates, the Secretary of Defense, is expected to provide her --and the Senate as a whole--with a more thoughtful reply.

Controling Rulemaking

While we've been focused on the scandal over the fired attorneys, the Bush Administration has been rewriting the way that rulemaking is done in the bureaucracy.

According to a recent executive order, the bureaucracy's discretion will be limited and the White House will have more influence including requiring the bureaucracy to consider free market options to the implementation of laws.

The specific fight centers on funding for something in the White House called the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs and its ability to implement Executive Order 13422: "The order requires federal officials to show that private companies, people or institutions failed to address a problem before agencies can write regulations to tackle it. It also gives political appointees greater authority over how the regulations are written."

Critics in Congress are concerned that this expands the power further politicizes the bureaucratic process.

It's worth pointing out that every White House has attempted to control the bureaucracy. An advantage this White House has had in having a staff--including the vice-president--with the executive experience that would allow them to do it effectively. The dispute arises when one considers whether it is a good idea to have a professional bureaucracy with the discretion to implement laws as they see fit, or a bureaucracy more controlled by the White House.

Professionalization sounds great, but we are a democracy--or a republic defined by separated powers. Should the president have greater control? Or might this lead to further efforts to politicize the bureaucracy?

Wackos?

The Stump reports that one of Ron Paul's organizers is concerned about the number of wackos ("dedicated, vigilant and small.") supporting his presidential bid, wondering if it might limit his appeal to the mainstream. A number of them apparently think, among other things, that 9/11 was an "inside job." They could drive away the moderates.

Maybe, but note that around here the proper term is not "wackos," it's "neighbors."

Friday, July 20, 2007

The Showdown Continues

The conflict over the fired attorneys has escalated further now that the White House has claimed--apparently for the first time ever--that once the president invokes executive privilege Justice Department officials cannot pursue contempt charges filed by Congress.

Normally, the contempt citations issued by the House and Senate Judiciary Committees against Harriet Miers and Joshua Bolton have to be issued by the attorney for the District of Columbia. Now he is being prevented from doing so.

The Washington Post cites David Rifkin, who worked as legal counsel to both Reagan and HW Bush praising the effort since it helps expand the "unitary executive," but others criticize it for the same reason. It makes the executive too powerful and violates the constitutionally established systems of checks and balances. Mark Rozell is cited as an expert who is opposed to this move.

Proponents point out that similar arguments were made in the Reagan Administration, but were not resolved in the courts. They almost certainly will be this time, but it's worth pointing out that among the people in the Reagan Department at the time of the previous conflict were John Roberts and Samuel Alito, both now on the Supreme Court and in a position to decide in favor if executive power. It may well be that this is a fight the Bush administration want to fight since it cause to believe that they have stacked the Supreme Court with Justices likely to agree with expanded executive power. Shows you what patience and discipline can accomplish. These guys are good.

The irony of course is that since the stars seem to be lined up in favor of the Democrats next year, the real beneficiary of executive power might well be a Democrat, maybe Hillary. So maybe these guts ain't so good after all.

The story also points out that the Congress was not told about this directly, but had to read about it in the media. Evidence perhaps of the contempt the current executive has for the legislative branch.

Ace in the Hole

Critics of the current state of journalism might enjoy purchasing the release on DVD of a neglected classic (Ace in the Hole) directed by Billy Wilder about a journalist who spends as much time fabricating stories as he does covering them.

More Highway Construction on the Way!

The Pearland side of the Reporter News website tells us to expect more highway construction as 288 is widened to meet the increasing demands that new residents are placing on it. The huge median from I-59 to County Road 60--about a mile north of 1462--is slated to turn into a toll road.

The construction project is in response to a Mobility Study conducted by the Texas Department of Transportation and the Houston Galveston Area Council. A variety of these studies, including one for the long forgotten I-35 expansion, are posted on the H-GAC website. Similar studies are posted on the TX-DoT website.

I find it interesting that we don't talk about freeway construction anymore, we talk about mobility or transportation. When freeways are built, somebody looses property--but mobility helps us all get to where we need to go (a nice fuzzy thing) or evacuate when necessary (an important security thing). The topic is still controversial however, witness the recent uproar in the Texas Legislature regarding the Governor's plans for expanded toll roads.

Paul Burka has also written in Texas Monthly that the most hated man in the Texas Legislature is Ric Williamson, the head of the Texas Transportation Commission.

I've driven down 288 from my home in the Heights regularly since 1998 and the changes have been, and are about to get even more, dramatic.

Turning Point?

I missed this story when it was first posted on the Friendswood (TX) Reporter News website, but earlier this year the city council rejected a move to have a referendum regarding whether English should be the official language of the city of Friendswood.

Proponents of the measure argued that the measure would increase unity and ensure that emergency officials would be able to adequately communicate with residents. But a healthy opposition was concerned that the measure would sanction "exclusion and bigotry."

The vote was 5-2.

Considering that an undercurrent of racial hostility seems a part of the immigration debate, could this vote signify that a reaction to that hostility is evolving? Or is this just Friendswood, or Texas? It was founded by Quakers, maybe this is a residue of the cities beginnings and is not likely to spread. The same point might be made about Texas. Given our history as a part of Mexico, is there a comfort level here that does not exist elsewhere?

Thursday, July 19, 2007

The Energy Task Force

For over six years the White House, the vice president specifically, has claimed that executive privilege allowed him to not reveal who participated in meetings of the White House Energy Task Force. The courts have agreed, but the Washington Post has been able to find out who was there anyway.

Not a controversial list (Ken Lay aside) which leads one to wonder why the fuss? The principle of secrecy in all likelihood.

WWTS

What Would Tocqueville Say?

Some of my classes are reviewing Tocqueville's writings and he famously stated that democracies lack the institutional requirements for effective foreign poplicymaking. They cannot do things in secret and do not have the patience necessary to see things carried out to the end.

Might this be the with our involvenment in Iraq?

Luntz Speaks

Frank Luntz thinks the Republican can bounce back. But he cautions: "dont count on it."

The National Intelligence Estimate

The press has been poring over the latest National Intelligence Estimate, at least the de-classified part they've been able to read. Most have discussed the report's estimate that Al-Qaeda has regrouped and is aiming to strike at the US again.

The Chicago Tribune wonders if the report was issued strategically since it coincides with the Senate's latest effort to pull the troops.

For our purposes, it is useful to ask where the report comes from and what the overall design of the intelligence apparatus in the U.S. is.

The report is the responsibility of the Director of National Intelligence who, according to its website: "serves as the head of the Intelligence Community (IC). The DNI also acts as the principal advisor to the President; the National Security Council, and the Homeland Security Council for intelligence matters related to the national security; and oversees and directs the implementation of the National Intelligence Program."

The Intelligence Community is the term used to describe the 16 agencies and organizations that collect intelligence. The community was officially established by President Reagan in an executive order in an effort to coordinate the collection of intelligence. The idea that a director should oversee the entire community dates back to the 1950s, but did not become law until assessments of the intelligence failures that allowed the 9/11 attacks to occurred spurred its actual establishment in the Intelligence Reform and Terrorist Prevention Act of 2004. Previously the head of the Central Intelligence Agency also served as the Director of National Intelligence, but now this position only oversees the CIA.

Though the purpose is to facilitate coordination, some suggest that the office is not given enough power to oversee the intelligence operations in other agencies like the National Security Agency.

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Scalia Speaks

Antonin Scalia is increasingly vocal about past cases he would like to overturn. All thoughts of stare decisis and judicial restraint are seemingly placed off to the side.

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Nixon Tries to be Warm and Fuzzy

An amazing memo by Richard Nixon a couple of year before his reelection in 1972. He wants his staff to sell his "warmth" to the public.

Tommy the Cork

The post below about Tommy the Cork is too good to pass up and I recommend that you read it. Here it is again. It calls Corcoran the first modern lobbyist and explains why: The breadth of agencies created in the New Deal provided expanded opportunities for deal making. Those who knew the ins and outs of the agencies could sell their services at a premium.

"The trail that Corcoran traveled seems well-beaten now: find a government job, develop expertise, then leave government to sell that expertise for a handsome profit. But it was Tommy Corcoran and a handful of other FDR aides who first applied that career strategy to the executive branch. They recognized that the mix of New Deal regulations and World War II foreign policy commitments had created an opening for savvy, well-connected lobbyists who focused not just on Congress, as they had in the past, but on federal agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Export-Import Bank."

And that's the world we live in now.

Sacrilege, Juicy Sacrilege

This being Texas and all, it's not nice to be anything but fawning over the dearly departed, but Slate argues that Lady Bird Johnson won't be able rest in peace until the full story of the fortune she made with her Austin radio station is told.

And its a great story. It illustrates the relationship we've touched on between congress, executive agencies and business interests.

The story begins in 1943 when the FCC, about to be abolished, was saved by young House Rep. Lyndon Johnson. Johnson developed a friendship with one of the FCC commissioners who helped clear the road for Lady Birds application for the station's license to be fast tracked. A fixer named Tommy "the Cork" Corcoran helped it along the way as well.

Once she owned it, in fast order the station was allowed to:

- broadcast 24 hours a day
- move to an "uncluttered" area on the dial where it would have little competition and broad coverage
- quintuple its power
- become a part of the CBS Radio network even though an affiliate existed within listening distance

Johnson also used threats to remove local army bases as leverage to persuade local business to advertise with the station. He (excuse me, she) was eventually allowed to add a television station to his/her holdings, which made them wealthy.

Politics is a contact sport in Texas as we all know. I've always thought that a political history of the use of government power to build fortunes would be a worthy project.

Cell Phones and Random Sampling

While discussing the problems cell phones posed for pollsters in class today I stumbled across this Pew Research Center study on what they call the "cell only" problem. 13% of Americans only use cell phones and are more difficult to reach than those that use landlines. Since cell phone users are different demographically (younger, more likely to be Hispanic and African American, less likely to be married or a homeowner) this can bias results in away from those groups.

The study suggest that the difference at the moment is marginal, but they project that 25% of the population will be cell-only by the 2008 elections and that adjustments are necessary to ensure that the polls stay accurate. It's not impossible but it is more expensive. Reaching cell-onlies costs 4 to 5 times more than land line users.

Counter Offensive

The Weekly Standard and William Kristol try to stop the bleeding by publcishing a couple of feel good pieces about Cheney and Bush. Will they be enough?

DC Appeals

It's taken awhile but Washington DC will appeal the appellate court decision to overturn its gun control laws.

Sunday, July 15, 2007

Understanding Your Enemy

Britain, and by extension we, are still coming to terms with the fact that many of the bombers affiliated with Al Qaeda, who we have stereotyped into being poor, hopeless and driven to violence by a lack of opportunity, do not fit that stereotype at all.

The recent bombings in Britain were carried out by doctors who had other opportunities, but seemed fueled by an ideological hatred of the west. The problem that poses is that while we feel that we understand poverty and its solutions (though we are not quite successful in implementing the solutions), we are at a loss to understand ideologically motivated animosity.

Writing in the London Observer, Henry Potter points to Sayyid Qutb, the founder of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood, who spent critical moments in his life in the United States and saw materialism, individual freedom and an equal role for women as evidence of the west's decadence and a justification for attacks on it.

Potter agues that Qutb's theories on how to do it owed more to Lenin than Islam and suggests that our strategies be adjusted accordingly. Potter is short on specifics, but his analysis rests on what some argue may be liberal democracy's Achilles heel: A open, tolerant nation may resist efforts to restrict the inclusion of groups that seek to undermine it. Censorship and exclusion violate the principles of democracy, but to not censor and exclude puts the security of the republic at risk. This violates the primary responsibility of government--to secure unalienable rights.

To complicate the discussion, David Warren points to other writings which argue that groups like Al Qaeda do in fact base their ideas on the religious underpinnings of the societies they exist within. his makes them a larger long term threat than either Nazism or Communism could have been since each cut against the (religious) grain of the culture they emerged within.

Pleasant thoughts on a Sunday morning.

Both build of a concept we hit when we cover public opinion: the role of stereotypes--or schemas--in the development of opinion. We find it very difficult to process information unless it can fit within a general concept we are already comfortable with--like a western political ideology or the rules of baseball. New information about a foreign concept is very difficult for us to process because we attempt to fit it into a known concept first rather than develop a completely new framework for it.

Both articles suggest that we have yet to completely figure out what we are fighting in Al Qaeda and similar organizations and we are unlikely to achieve any success until we do.

Friday, July 13, 2007

Fall Out Over Oaths

Sara Taylor's testimony before the Senate, and her claim to have taken an oath to the president rather than the Constitution, remain topical.

For my 2301's, since we have been discussing the debates over ratifying the Constitution, does this justify the anti-federalists' fears that the executive would gradually become the dominant branch--a military king?

More Noonan

This is as good a description of the relationship between the government and the governed as I've ever read:

Americans hire presidents and fire them. They're not as sweet about it as they used to be. This is not because they have grown cynical, but because they are disappointed, by both teams and both sides. Some part of them thinks no matter who is president he will not protect them from forces at work in the world. Some part of them fears that when history looks back on this moment, on the past few presidents and the next few, it will say: Those men were not big enough for the era.

But this is a democracy. You vote, you do the best you can with the choices presented, and you show the appropriate opposition to the guy who seems most likely to bring trouble. (I think that is one reason for the polarity and division of politics now. No one knows in his gut that the guy he supports will do any good. But at least you can oppose with enthusiasm and passion the guy you feel in your gut will cause more trouble than is needed! This is what happens when the pickings are slim: The greatest passion gets funneled into opposition.)

We hire them and fire them. President Bush was hired to know more than the people, to be told all the deep inside intelligence, all the facts Americans are not told, and do the right and smart thing in response.

That's the deal. It's the real "grand bargain." If you are a midlevel Verizon executive who lives in New Jersey, this is what you do: You hire a president and tell him to take care of everything you can't take care of--the security of the nation, its well-being, its long-term interests. And you in turn do your part. You meet your part of the bargain. You work, pay your taxes, which are your financial contribution to making it all work, you become involved in local things--the boy's ball team, the library, the homeless shelter. You handle what you can handle within your ken, and give the big things to the president.

And if he can't do it, or if he can't do it as well as you pay the mortgage and help the kid next door, you get mad. And you fire him.

Americans can't fire the president right now, so they're waiting it out. They can tell a pollster how they feel, and they do, and they can tell friends, and they do that too. They also watch the news conference, and grit their teeth a bit.


"I took the W off my car today"

Sounds like a great line in a country song, but it was the subject line in an email received by Peggy Noonan (Reagan's chief speech writer).

Choice Quote: "I found myself Thursday watching President Bush's news conference and thinking about what it is about him, real or perceived, that makes people who used to smile at the mention of his name now grit their teeth."

The President's poll numbers have depended on maintaining his connection with his own party. He may have lost it.


Thursday, July 12, 2007

Democrats Smell Blood

Harris County Democrats are hoping to learn from Dallas County Democrats who won every county wide office in last year's election.

They key is recruiting the best possible candidates even though some--Police Chief Bradford--come with baggage. They will also be running candidates for each of the judicial races, something they have not done in the past.

Republicans are prepping for the race, but given that no Democrat has won a county wide race in Harris County since 1996, any win would be significant.

To What--or to Whom--Does One Take an Oath To?

In her testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee regarding, once again, the firing of the federal attorneys, former White House advisor Sara Taylor seems confused about who she serves.

Of course as a member of the White House Staff the confusion may not be unique to her.

Historical Obliteration

That what Dick Morris says Bush risks if he does not pull the troops from Iraq.

A strong Democratic showing in 2008 will upend everything he accomplished in his presidency (tax cuts, No Child Left Behind) and it will be as if he never held office.

Aside from the debt he leaves behind of course.

Party Line Vote on Iraq

By far from a veto proof margin, the House of Representatives votes to pull troops from Iraq.

Given that it will fail, is this a serious gesture or an effort to pin Iraq on the Republican Party so that the Democrats can use it as a campaign issue? Republicans who have to run in 2008 seem to think so.

Liberals Adjust to the Reality of the Supreme Court

Liberals now are about where conservatives were around the time of Griswold v Conneticutt. Behind the curve and needing a plan for the future.

That's according to Linds Greenhouse.

Wednesday, July 11, 2007

The Surgeon General

The Surgeon General's office was newsworthy today. The most recent occupant of the office Dr. Richard Carmona testified that he was under considerable pressure from the White House to limit his activities to those deemed ideologically appropriate.

He testified alongside two former surgeons general--including C. Everett Koop--before the House Oversight Committee which has been occupied with investigating various White House activities. All worried about the politization of the office, but Tony Snow, Bush's Press Secretary stated that "if you, in fact, serve at the pleasure of the President, you have some obligation to share his policies."

The office is a bit of a relic. At one point it actually had a degree of power, but the passage of Medicare and Medicaid legislation in the 1960s trumped it. Programs that it had control over were transfered to the Department of Health and Human Services. The Surgeon General largely exist now to advocate for health issues. The conflict with the White House is a further illustration of the perennial tension that exists between the politically minded forces associated with the president and the policy minded individuals committed to an agency's mission.

Wimps

The Hill reports that House Minority Leader John Boehner has found a unique way to forge cohesion in his caucus: Call the Senate Republicans skeptical of the surge wimps.

Regarding Confidential Advice

Writing in Slate, Bruce Fein takes issue with the major premise underlying executive privilege:

"The president's claim of privilege pivots on a false assumption wrongly endorsed by the Supreme Court in Nixon v. United States: namely, that the president will not receive candid and unfettered advice from subordinates absent a guarantee that their communications will remain confidential. What nonsense. I have worked in and out of government for 38 years. I have never heard any high or low executive-branch official so much as insinuate that presidential advice had been or might be skewed or withheld if confidentiality were not guaranteed. The gravity of advising the president universally overcomes anxieties over possible embarrassment through subsequent publicity. Moreover, every presidential adviser knows that confidentiality is never ironclad. Presidents routinely waive executive privilege in jockeying with Congress; confidentiality is always subservient to a criminal investigation or prosecution under the Nixon precedent; and leaks to the media of confidential presidential memos or conversations overflow like the Nile. Indeed, President Bush has himself waived the privilege repeatedly in the ongoing U.S. attorneys investigations by the two committees.

Executive privilege is a concoction, then, to protect secrecy for the sake of secret government, while transparency is the rule of enlightened democracies to insure political accountability and to deter folly or wrongdoing."

Nixon on Executive Power

From an interview with David Frost in 1977:

Frost: So what in a sense you are saying is that there are certain situations when the president can decide that it is in the best interest of the nation or something and do something illegal.

Nixon: Well, when the president does it that means its not illegal.

Frost: By definition.

Nixon: Exactly.

Happy Cost of Government Day

Everything else you earn this year is your's to keep.

Home Grown Monopoly

Houston's own Sysco Foods is in the spotlight increasingly due to it's dominance of the food wholesaling business. Most of what you eat in restaurants, institutions, ballparks and the like is delivered and processed by them.

Monopolies are illegal, but how would we know if this is a problem? Prices are cheap, but are our choices limited?

Tuesday, July 10, 2007

O'Connor's Legacy

Apparently there's not much of one.

LBJ & GWB

The parallels between the two are becoming more striking. Vietnam and Iraq is an obvious comparison made well here. Johnson also left his party in disarray and created opportunities for the opposition. It's too early to say what state the president will leave his party, but early indications are not hopeful.

William Wayne Justice

One of the more influential policy makers in Texas over the past few decades is not an elected representative of the state. He's 87 year old U.S. District Judge William Wayne Justice.

He is back in the news due to his role in settling a lawsuit over children's access to Medicaid.
Justice has already placed his stamp on a variety of policies in Texas, and since he has mandated policies to benefit prisoners and desegregate schools.

Neither made him popular with conservatives who use him as an example of a judicial activist.

More on Cheney

Andrew Sullivan argues for impeachment.

"Most Americans are not yet fully aware that this vice-president believes that the executive branch is not subject to domestic or international law, has inherent powers to arrest, detain indefinitely without charges and torture anyone on earth if it so wishes, and can wire-tap Americans without any court oversight for good measure. These are not emergency powers in wartime, but permanent new powers since we are in permanent new state of war. Alongside our constitution, Cheney has constructed a rival governing force, a protectorate, answerable to no one and no law, dedicated to our security. We do get to select that protector every four years (our "accountability moment"), but that's the extent of our ultimate constitutional and legal protection. This is not self-government; it's delegation of power to a single leader-guardian-decider. The president is not really the president in this constitutional model. Presidents preside over a constitutional order. Protectors act as constant and energetic guardians of the security of others. They are outside the law, because they believe the law impedes the necessity for risk-free security."

He quotes one of his readers who suggests that impeachments were intended to be more frequent, the proof being it's "asymmetrical" structure. A simple majority for impeachment and a 2/3rds majority for removal from office. I don't know if I buy the argument, but its worth chewing over.

According to a recent poll, 54% of respondents support impeachment (76% of Democrats, 51% of Independents, and 17% of Republicans)

Here's the rub though. Do Democrats really want him out of office? He may be a great foil for them to run against. Notice that no one seems to care about Donald Rumsfeld anymore. It might be best to keep him in the limelight--maybe Republicans should want to kick him put. Plus if Democrats impeach him it opens the door to retaliation when a Republican Congress has the chance--not that they would actually do anything like that.

Monday, July 9, 2007

Swarm Intelligence

In essence, the study of government is the study of how groups make collective decisions--at least those that are legally binding. Democracy rests on the idea that the individual decision maker is the central unit in the governing structure and that collective decisions are only as good as the individuals making those decisions.

The premise underlying the decision to require you to take two government classes is that the more you know the better governmental decisions will be.

Now come researchers who study the behavior of ant colonies, schools of fish, and flocks of birds and argue that the collective unit itself has its own unique intelligence that goes beyond the capabilities of any one ant, fish or bird. simple creatures following simple rules, each one acting on local information. ". . . no ant sees the big picture. No ant tells any other ant what to do. Some ant species may go about this with more sophistication than others. Even complex behavior may be coordinated by relatively simple interactions." Applications have been made to human endeavors which promise to upend theories of how groups decisions ought to be made. The distribution of goods seems to be most responsive to these theories. Algorithms developed based on any behavior are helping determine where gas is purchased and planes are flown.

I'm pretty sure that economists and urban planners would state that they have each long held that markets and cities create environments where such decisions are made. The conclusion one peron made of bee behavior sounds familiar: "—seek a diversity of options, encourage a free competition among ideas, and use an effective mechanism to narrow choices. " A good rule of thumb for any decision. These studies seem to fit into a larger range of research focused on the biological determinants of human behavior, a growth area from what I can tell.

Here's an extended quote:

"In fact, almost any group that follows the bees' rules will make itself smarter, says James Surowiecki, author of The Wisdom of Crowds. "The analogy is really quite powerful. The bees are predicting which nest site will be best, and humans can do the same thing, even in the face of exceptionally complex decisions." Investors in the stock market, scientists on a research project, even kids at a county fair guessing the number of beans in a jar can be smart groups, he says, if their members are diverse, independent minded, and use a mechanism such as voting, auctioning, or averaging to reach a collective decision.

Take bettors at a horse race. Why are they so accurate at predicting the outcome of a race? At the moment the horses leave the starting gate, the odds posted on the pari-mutuel board, which are calculated from all bets put down, almost always predict the race's outcome: Horses with the lowest odds normally finish first, those with second lowest odds finish second, and so on. The reason, Surowiecki says, is that pari-mutuel betting is a nearly perfect machine for tapping into the wisdom of the crowd.

"If you ever go to the track, you find a really diverse group, experts who spend all day perusing daily race forms, people who know something about some kinds of horses, and others who are betting at random, like the woman who only likes black horses," he says. Like bees trying to make a decision, bettors gather all kinds of information, disagree with one another, and distill their collective judgment when they place their bets.

That's why it's so rare to win on a long shot."

The article's conclusion is noteworthy. Group dynamics are only as good as the information provided by its members, which requires members to pay attention and participate. Voting, volunteering, recycling--not free riding in general--suddenly become more important not just for their own merit, but for the information it conveys to others about how they should behave.

Court Cases for my 2302's to Chew On

For my Summer 2 GOVT 2302 class: Here's a list of the court cases from the recently completed session of the U.S. Supreme Court. Pick on for your writting assignment due August 7th.

One per customer, first come first served. Cases with X's have been selected.

x-Carey v. Musladin
x-Purcell v. Gonzalez
x-Philip Morris USA v. Williams
x-Wallace v. Kato
x-Whorton v. Bockting
Rockwell Int'l Corp. v. United States
x-Massachusetts v. EPA
Environmental Defense v. Duke Energy Corp.
x-Gonzales v. Carhart
x-James v. United States
x-Abdul-Kabir v. Quarterman
Brewer v. Quarterman
x-Smith v. Texas
x-Scott v. Harris
x-Ledbetter v. Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co.
Schriro v. Landrigan
Long Island Care at Home, Ltd. v. Coke
Bowles v. Russell
x-Brendlin v. California
x-Tennessee Secondary School Athletic Assn. v. Brentwood Academy
x-Morse v. Frederick
x-Parents Involved in Community Schools v. Seattle School Dist. No. 1
Federal Election Comm’n v. Wisconsin Right to Life, Inc.
Panetti v. Quarterman
x-Hein v. Freedom From Religion Foundation, Inc.
National Assn. of Home Builders v. Defenders of Wildlife

Congressman Cheney

As suggested below, Cheney's efforts to expand executive power predate his current position as vice-president. This article points out how his minority report on the Iran-Contra scandal (which he didn't consider a scandal at all) introduces arguments that have been expanded more recently.

It also suggests that he thought Congress overstepped in its investigations of Richard Nixon. His career follows an interesting path. He works in Nixon and Ford's White House, where he seeks to expand presidential powers, and then spends time in Congress where he attempts to do the same, but this time by undermining Congress from within. Now as vice-president he further expands those powers.

What focus. One wonders what motivates him.

What National Security Advisers Do

They lobby for the president.

The adviser in question is Stephen J. Hadley and he does not seem to have been successful. He's attempted to reign in some of the Republican Senators who have begun questioning the success of the surge.

Troublesome concern: "Some senators were left with the impression that the White House still does not recognize the scope of the Iraq dilemma. Worse yet, they see the president running out the clock until April, when a depleted U.S. military will be blamed for the fiasco."

Let's hope it does not come to this.

Sunday, July 8, 2007

Avatars?

Do any of you get into this? Might be fun for an online class--or not.

If not Iraq, China?

Apparently we were angling to go to war with someone. This story argues that if it wasn't for 9/11 we would be at war with China now.

The Base Weakens

We've been talking about this possibility in class for some time. The Washington Post argues that two recent missteps by the White House have weakened his support among Republicans--which has dipped below 70% when it should be above 90%.

The first was his decision to back Senator Kennedy's proposal to open citizenship to some illegal immigrants (they termed this amnesty) the other was the decision to commute Libby's sentence, not give him a complete pardon. Add Republican defections on Iraq, and you get a trifecta.

Conservatives thought the president went too far in the former and not far enough in the latter. This has made it more permissible for conservatives to criticize him freeing up those who end up being called by Gallup and other, to state they they disapprove of the president's performance when asked.

The story points out that Bush's saving grace may be the Democrat controlled Congress. If they start sending him bills calling for more spending he can veto them and regain a reputation as a fiscal conservative. Maybe too little for him to have an impact on governance, but enough to rally support for the eventual Republican nominee.

Saturday, July 7, 2007

Conservative Shift on Executive Power

Once upon a time, conservatives distrusted strong executive power--back when liberal presidents seemed intent on using its powers to advance the welfare state anyway. Times have changed.

Thanks to Matt Yglesias.

The Irrational Public

Another review of a book we covered before--and ought to read in class down the line. The title says it all: are the wrong people voting?

The Money Primary

I'm not sure who coined the term, but sometime ago (wordspy says it happened in 1987) a very wise person decided that the period prior to the actual primary/caucus season deserved its own name and since the time is generally spent earning the money necessary to purchase ad space and travel and all that, why not call it the money primary?

Since the Federal Election Commission makes candidates report the amount of money they have earned every three months, the announcement has turned into a race of its own. It's a way for candidates to prove their viability and to convince others (staffers, funders, potential opponents) to join them.

June 30th marked the latest date candidates had to report figures, and as has been reported, Barack Obama led the pack with over $32 million raised from over 150,000 people. For a full picture of the race go to opensecrets.org or fec.gov.

Now for feedback: Is this the best way to pick presidential candidates?

Friday, July 6, 2007

Railroad Conventions

A bit of 19th Century history I wasn't aware of (one of the many bits actually).

Railroad Conventions. Opportunities for citizens of different cities and regional to influence decisions about where railroads would go. Obviously important to emerging cities across the country. I stumbled cross this while researching the history U.S. representation of Brazoria County. Several reps had backgrounds speaking for the interests of various cities in railroad conventions.

More--or Maybe Less-on Standing

A federal court once again rules against plaintiffs in a lawsuit, not on the merits of the case, but because they lacked standing to bring the case forward. That's to say that they have not been able to prove that they have suffered harm as a result of the law's implementation.

This case involves warrant-less wire tapping, and whether particular people(non terrorists: academics, journalists and the like) have had their messages intercepted without warrants. If so, this would be a clear violation of the 4th amendment, but the problem for the plaintiffs is proving that they have been wiretapped. The executive claims this information is top secret and they cannot be forced to reveal whether it has occurred.

Genius.

Declare Victory and Leave

It's an option.

Not to pat myself on the back, but I've been arguing this for months.

The Political Lexicon

My apologies to more attentive readers, but this term is new to me: burn rate.

Supreme Turning Point

A panel of experts claims that the court has in fact turned a corner as significant as that turned when the court decided Mapp v. Ohio in 1961.

Executive Privilege Showdown

The National Review suggests that the president's claim of executive privilege in regards to the firing of the federal prosecutors may be strong : "The oversight power of Congress tends to follow its legislative power. In those areas where it has a direct hand, it has a strong claim to exercise oversight over the executive branch, but not where it doesn’t." Meaning that if the Congress has no role in the act it is investigating, it has no right to mandate that documents be produced.

They suggest that if the subject concerned the implementation of an act Congress passed, then they would have the right to investigate and--perhaps--override claims of executive privilege. They continue to point out that the purpose behind executive privilege is to allow the president to get unfiltered advice and denying him executive privilege here could undermine the ability of future presidents to get broad ranging advice.

It may well be that this is at root a political dispute and will require a political solution. If a Democrat wins the White House in 2008, then the issue of a Republican leaning Justice Department becomes moot, and if Democrats hold on to Congress, then there will no oversight of their attempts to either right any wrong they perceive to have been committed by Bush or tilt the Justice Department in their direction. Of course if Republicans were to take over Congress while a Democrat is in the White House, any precedent regarding investigations established now could come back to haunt them.

Maybe their best move might be to raise a stink, but ultimately let the issue die down before it goes to the courts.

Tuesday, July 3, 2007

Bush/Cheney

The Washington Post has one story about Bush's increased isolation, and a series about Cheney's unusually strong term as vice president.

2301 and 2302 Finals

Thanks to my summer 1 classes for putting up with me. The finals exams were not bad. The average for 2301 was 73.5, and 2302 was an amazing 85! Unless I made it all too easy, you just may have learned something. Finals are as much a reflection on me as they are of you, so I'm a bit relieved.

I encourage you all to stay in touch and continue commenting on this site--as well as others you might have stumbled across.

I'll see some of you next week for summer 2.

About Those Independents

To often we, meaning I, talk about independents as if they are a monolithic bunch. They are not and this poll proves it.

The Washington Post took part in the poll and wrote up the results here. Here's the key part of the story:

"Five categories of independents emerged from the analysis of the survey results:

- "Deliberators," who are classic swing voters.

- "Disillusioned," who are acutely upset with politics today.

- "Dislocated," who are both social liberals and fiscal conservatives.

-"Disguised," who are partisans on the left and right who behave almost identically to Democrats or Republicans.

- "Disengaged," who generally sit on the political sidelines."

Depending on where you get your information, self identified independents are the largest or second largest partisan group in politics today. The study suggests that we be cautious when we make predictions about how they might vote.

The Anti-Federalists and the Pardon

Sanford Levinson, commenting on the Libby pardon, reminds us that the Anti-Federalists were suspicious of the power to pardon:

"George Mason, a distinguished Virginian who refused to sign the Constitution, noted that 'the President of the United States has the unrestrained Power of granting Pardon for Treason; which may be sometimes exercised to screen from Punishment those whom he had secretly instigated to commit the Crime, and thereby prevent a Discovery of his own guilt.' Luther Martin, another non-signatory, also objected to the potential 'attempt [of the President] to assume to himself powers not given by the constitution, and establish himself in regal authority; in which attempt a provision is made for him to secure from punishment the creatures of his ambition, the associates and abettors of his treasonable practices, by granting them pardons should they be defeated in their attempts to subvert the constitution.'"

It was another reason to oppose a system of government that created a singular executive.

The Libby Pardon

The chief executive checked the judiciary by commuting a sentence it imposed on an executive official, following a trial prosecuted by attorneys in the Justice Department (also members of the executive branch). Don't you love separated powers?

Objective background on the case against Scooter Libby is next to impossible to find. This link takes you to a page on National Public Radio's website with links to various stories about the case. It's as good as any place to get an idea about how we got to where we are.

Comments are all over the place. Here's a taste:

-The prosecutor was nuts to pursue the case.
-Rules are different for the rich and well connected.
-Clinton did worse.
-Bush's presidency is effectively over.
-It's all about keeping Libby silent.

There's much more. And irony to boot. Some point out that Marc Rich, Clinton's most controversial pardon, was defended by Scooter Libby. And Libby's current lawyer, Ted Wells, also successfully defended Clinton cabinet official Mike Espy.

Incestuous place, isn't it?