Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Do Democrats have an electoral advantage in the electoral college?

There's an argument that they do. It's roughly based on the idea that Republicans are concentrated in a smaller number of large states and Democrats are more spread out across the nation. Democrats are therefore more competitive in more states than Republicans. The Democratic presidential candidate is therefor more likely to win the necessary electoral college votes. It doesn't matter if you win the state by 1 vote or if you win it unanimously. Every state except two allocate their vote in a winner take all.

Click on these for detail:

- In 2016 race, an electoral college edge for Democrats.
- A big Electoral College advantage for the Democrats is looming.
- Do Democrats have a permanent Electoral College advantage?
- Democrats Shouldn’t Count on an Electoral College Edge in 2016.
The Electoral College challenge facing the Republicans in 2016.
- Democrats' Electoral College Edge.
- Democrats have a built-in edge in the Electoral College. But it guarantees them nothing for 2016

Here's an image that looks forward to 2016. We of course have no idea who the nominees will be or what might transpire between now and then to change the landscape - bit its a start: