Viktor Mihály Orbán, the Prime Minister of Hungary, gained power through a combination of political skill, strategic alliances, and a shift in Hungary’s political landscape during the post-communist era.
Early Political Career and Rise:
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Fidesz's Founding (1988): Orbán became politically active in the late 1980s, co-founding the Alliance of Young Democrats (Fidesz) in 1988, initially a liberal and pro-democracy youth movement that opposed Hungary's communist regime.
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The Fall of Communism (1989-1990): As communism fell in Eastern Europe, Fidesz became a key player in the transition to a market economy and democracy. Orbán emerged as a prominent voice for Hungary’s integration into the Western world, particularly advocating for NATO and European Union membership.
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First Political Victory (1998): Orbán and Fidesz won Hungary's 1998 parliamentary elections. This victory marked Orbán’s first term as prime minister, although it was short-lived as his government was ousted in 2002.
Political Shifts and 2010 Victory:
After the 2002 defeat, Orbán and Fidesz shifted from being a more liberal party to adopting a more nationalist, conservative platform. Several factors contributed to his eventual return to power in 2010:
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Economic Crisis: The global financial crisis of 2008 heavily impacted Hungary. The center-left government led by the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) struggled to manage the crisis, leading to austerity measures and increasing public dissatisfaction.
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Fidesz's Rebranding: Orbán and Fidesz successfully repositioned themselves as a strong opposition party. They capitalized on public discontent, especially with the economic hardship, corruption scandals, and perceived incompetence of the MSZP government. Fidesz’s appeal shifted toward nationalism, cultural conservatism, and anti-immigrant rhetoric.
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2010 Election Victory: In the 2010 parliamentary elections, Orbán’s Fidesz won an overwhelming victory, securing a two-thirds majority in the National Assembly. This allowed him to reshape Hungary’s constitution and political institutions, consolidating power and significantly diminishing checks on the executive branch.
Consolidating Power:
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Constitutional Changes: Following the 2010 victory, Orbán’s government passed a new constitution and made several changes to Hungary’s legal and political systems, many of which were criticized as undermining democratic institutions. The government took control of the judiciary, media, and key public institutions, weakening checks on executive power.
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Control of Media and Civil Society: Orbán’s government has also been accused of curtailing media freedom, stifling opposition voices, and cracking down on civil society organizations critical of the government. This has been a key part of his strategy to maintain control over the political narrative in Hungary.
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Populist and Nationalist Policies: Orbán’s government has pursued populist and nationalist policies, such as rejecting EU immigration quotas, promoting Hungarian cultural values, and challenging the European Union’s authority. These moves have made him a polarizing figure both domestically and internationally.
Continued Influence:
Orbán’s political strategy has allowed him to remain in power for multiple terms, securing re-election in 2014, 2018, and likely 2022 as well. His strong populist appeal, combined with his ability to manage the media narrative and build alliances, has kept him in control of Hungary’s political landscape. His leadership is marked by a commitment to preserving Hungarian sovereignty, rejecting EU oversight, and promoting a form of illiberal democracy.
In short, Viktor Orbán gained power through his ability to navigate Hungary's transition from communism, rebranding his party over time to fit the national mood, and using economic and political crises to his advantage. His consolidation of power since 2010 has been characterized by reshaping Hungary's political institutions and distancing the country from liberal democratic norms.