Showing posts with label trade. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trade. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 11, 2012

The Two Economies and the Two Parties

David Brooks points to an article written by Tyler Cowen which predicts that the export sectors will drive the American economy forward, but do so by creating two fundamentally different economies.

Brooks argues that these two economies have partisan characteristics - which might be worth pondering as we consider the differences between the two parties:

His work leaves the impression that there are two interrelated American economies. On the one hand, there is the globalized tradable sector — companies that have to compete with everybody everywhere. These companies, with the sword of foreign competition hanging over them, have become relentlessly dynamic and very (sometimes brutally) efficient.
On the other hand, there is a large sector of the economy that does not face this global competition — health care, education and government. Leaders in this economy try to improve productivity and use new technologies, but they are not compelled by do-or-die pressure, and their pace of change is slower.

A rift is opening up. The first, globalized sector is producing a lot of the productivity gains, but it is not producing a lot of the jobs. The second more protected sector is producing more jobs, but not as many productivity gains. The hypercompetitive globalized economy generates enormous profits, while the second, less tradable economy is where more Americans actually live.

In politics, we are beginning to see conflicts between those who live in Economy I and those who live in Economy II. Republicans often live in and love the efficient globalized sector and believe it should be a model for the entire society. They want to use private health care markets and choice-oriented education reforms to make society as dynamic, creative and efficient as Economy I.

Democrats are more likely to live in and respect the values of the second sector. They emphasize the destructive side of Economy I streamlining — the huge profits at the top and the stagnant wages at the middle. They want to tamp down some of the streamlining in the global economy sector and protect health care, education and government from its remorseless logic.

Republicans believe the globalized sector is racing far out in front of government, adapting in ways inevitable and proper. If given enough freedom, Economy I entrepreneurs will create the future jobs we need. Government should prepare people to enter that sector but get out of its way as much as possible.

Democrats are more optimistic that government can enhance the productivity of the global sectors of the economy while redirecting their benefits. They want to use Economy I to subsidize Economy II.

I don’t know which coalition will gain the upper hand. But I do think today’s arguments are rooted in growing structural rifts. There’s an urgent need to understand the interplay between the two different sectors. I’d also add that it’s not always easy to be in one of those pockets — including the media and higher education — that are making the bumpy transition from Economy II to Economy I.

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Free Trade Deal Passes Congress

From the NYT:

Congress passed three long-awaited free trade agreements on Wednesday, ending a political standoff that has stretched across two presidencies. The move offered a rare moment of bipartisan accord at a time when Republicans and Democrats are bitterly divided over the role that government ought to play in reviving the sputtering economy.

The approval of the deals with South Korea, Colombia and Panama is a victory for President Obama and proponents of the view that foreign trade can drive America’s economic growth in the face of rising protectionist sentiment in both political parties. They are the first trade agreements to pass Congress since Democrats broke a decade of Republican control in 2007.


Friday, October 7, 2011

Free Trade Bills Move Forward

The bill is H.R. 2832 - The Trade Adjustment Assistance Extension Act of 2011. It would extend free trade agreements with Columbia, South Korea and Panama.

Some related stories:
- Senate passes Trade Adjustment Assistance extension.
- Trade bills approved by House Ways and means Committee.

The China Currency Bill

The Senate is locked up over S.1619 the Currency Exchange Rate Oversight Reform Act of 2011 (the China Currency Bill). Details on Senate floor action can be found here.

The bill is designed to punish China for devaluing its currency. Tariffs will be assessed on Chinese imports if they do not raise the value of the Yuan. but critics wonder if the bill might end up hurting more than helping American workers. Dispute over the bill seems to cuts across party lines. Democrats and Tea Party Republicans (driven by populism, protectionism and animosity towards the financial sector) seem to be united on this. The White house and Republican leaders seem to be opposed.

- Our China Currency Bill Will Defend America's Core Interests.
- The China Currency Bill Will Make Americans Poorer, not Richer.
- Geithner Reiterates White House Concern on China Currency Bill.
- On Currency Bill, Rank-and-File Republicans Buck GOP Leaders.