Friday, April 16, 2010

Obama v A Generic Republican

Nate Silver points out a curious phenomenon. Based on his analysis of current polls, if the 2012 election were held today, Obama loses to a generic Republican, but defeats all potential flesh and blood Republican candidates. Is this good news or bad news for Obama? What does this tell us about the information we get from public opinion polls? Or people's assessment of the Republican Party as an institution versus the characteristics of any potential candidate?