This build off a previous post and should help us understand what's going on among Republicans in the election and the convention. In the WSJ, Barone traces recent changes in the base of the Republican Party since its founding.
As with other analysts, the big story has been the transition of the South from solid Democrat to mostly - but not solidly - Republican. The dominant groups in the party are now the white working class and evangelicals. He's unconvinced that the current Republican coalition is sufficient to build a majority party. If elected Romney's task will be to increased the party's base.