- Click here for the article.
. . . here's my prediction: Over the next decade or so, the Republicans will split between their growing nationalist-populist wing and their business establishment wing, a split that the nationalist-populist wing will eventually win. The Democrats will face a similar split between the increasingly pro-corporate but socially liberally Clinton wing and a more economically progressive Sanders wing, a split that the Clinton wing will eventually win.
Eventually, the Democrats will become the party of urban cosmopolitan business liberalism, and the Republicans will become the party of suburban and rural nationalist populism (similar to what my colleague Michael Lind has predicted).
But this will take a while. And during the transition period, both parties will diversify to the point where they can again work within the uniquely compromise-dependent America system of separated institutions sharing power. As the parties weaken as coherent entities, the political system will become more fluid and dynamic, with more shifting coalitions and more opportunity for dealmaking, and less clear partisanship. For a while, American politics actually could be great again.
Here's more on the subject:
- The Trump Realignment: If Rubio's attacks on the Donald aren't successful, will neoconservatives leave the GOP for Hillary Clinton?
- The Great GOP Realignment: Ted Cruz and Donald Trump may herald an historic working-class Republican revolt against the party establishment.
