Monday, September 7, 2015

The latest on the 2016 Campaign

Some stories worth a look:

- From Politico: How Trump Exposed the Tea Party: The proof is in: the GOP base isn’t small-government libertarian; it’s old-fashioned populist. This interested me more than the rest. It looks at the things Trump is saying right now and uses it to call into question what the Tea Party has been argued to be over the past 6 or 7 years: The success of Trump’s campaign has, if nothing else, exposed the Tea Party for what it really is; Trump’s popularity is, in effect, final proof of what some of us have been arguing for years: that the Tea Party is less a libertarian movement than a right-wing version of populism.

- From 538: The Republican Establishment Is Waiting On The Sidelines. We mentioned the establishment wind of the Republican Party previously, and here's a story focused on them and their strategy ahead. They tend to wait out insurgent movements like Trump's, and rally behind a consensus candidate eventually. The author argues that the lack of one candidate they can rally behind might explain Trump's popularity.

- From 538: The Endorsement Primary. This is from a link in the previous story. I'm a sucker for anything that reads "the ____ primary." This lists the number of endorsements the presidential candidates have received so far.

- From Politico: How Trump Can Ensure Democratic Dominance for Generations: It happened before, 90 years ago, when the GOP cracked down hard on immigrants. Republicans never recovered. There's nice history here. The author compares the current anti-immigration positions of the Republican candidates with those of Republican Presidents in the 1920s. Democrats went on an electoral tear after that period. Might they do it again?